The top US intelligence officials were questioned on Tuesday about why they missed the government’s resistance in Afghanistan and Ukraine, and whether they needed to reform how intelligence institutions considered the will of foreign military to fight.
A.S. Intelligence Believe that the Kabul government supported by U.S. will last for months against the Taliban and think Russian troops will invade Ukraine in a few weeks. The two assessments are wrong. US and Western allies are now rushed to help Ukraine’s resistance against Russia in what has turned into a grinding and cruel deadlock.
What we miss is the desire to fight for Ukraine … and we also miss it in Afghanistan,” said Senator Angus King, an independent of Maine, at the session of the Senate Armed Service Committee. He added, “I realize Will to fight is far more difficult to be judged than the number of tanks or volumes of ammunition or the like. But I hope the intelligence community will do some soul searches on how to get better on that question. “
President Joe Biden’s administration revealed the intention of Russian President Vladimir Putin in advance to attack Ukraine, a public campaign that said he built support to destroy sanctions on the Russian economy and military support from NATO members. The top US official has gone to Kyiv to meet with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and promise more military and intelligence support.
Avril Haines, Director of the U.S. National Intelligence, said that “the willingness to fight” and “capacity to fight” together -the same time is difficult to predict. The National Intelligence Council, a group of advisors who reviewed the institution as a whole, was studying this problem, he said.
Both of them are a problem, as you mentioned, it is quite challenging to provide an effective analysis,” Haines told King. “And we are looking for a different methodology to do it.”
The US may have done more before the invasion to help Zelenskyy has a member of parliament believes that Kyiv has more opportunities, said King. And after the prediction that the Taliban will be detained for a year after the American withdrawal, the government supported by the coalition “takes place minus or two weeks,” said King, a reference to Kabul Taliban who was overrunning before formal withdrawal ended.
The US was forced to negotiate with the Taliban to evacuate thousands of Americans and Afghan allies who fought against large crowds to secure space in evacuation flights. The attack at Kabul Airport killed 13 US troops and at least 170 Afghan civilians.
King raised his voice to cut Lieutenant General Scott Berier, Head of the Defense Intelligence Agency, after Berier said he was sure the intelligence agent had done a “great job.”
General, how can you say that when we were told explicitly, Kyiv would fall in three days and Ukraine would fall in two weeks?” she says. “You tell me that accurate intelligence?